Tag: geopolitical-power
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The Year of Abandonment: How Screwed Are We in a New World Disorder?
The blunt answer to “How screwed are we?” in 2026 is: more than most policymakers admit, but less than total collapse—provided political will, not technical capacity, becomes the variable that changes. The world is entering a decade where humanitarian need and geopolitical risk are rising faster than our systems’ willingness to respond, creating what many…
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Years of Silence: How Chinese Spies Infiltrated America’s Communications and Congress
Chinese state-linked hackers from the group known as Salt Typhoon have spent years quietly burrowing into the digital backbone of U.S. power—from telecommunications carriers and data centers to the email systems of congressional staff on the most sensitive House committees. The recently disclosed breach of House email accounts is not an isolated incident but the…
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Playing Checkers While China Builds Chess: How the U.S.–China Race in Chips and AI Is Rewriting the Global Tech Order
U.S.–China competition in chips, AI, and advanced manufacturing is crystallizing into a long-term structural race: the United States holds a widening hardware and fabrication lead, while China is choosing to sacrifice performance for sovereignty, betting that domestic capacity and energy advantages will eventually erode Washington’s leverage. The Trump administration’s decision to approve exports of Nvidia’s…
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The EU’s Quiet AI Revolution: How the AI Act Is Rewiring Global Rules for Artificial Intelligence
Europe’s Quiet AI Revolution: How the EU Is Rewriting the Rules While the World Watches The European Union is no longer debating whether to regulate artificial intelligence—it is already doing it. Since the EU’s AI Act entered into force on August 1, 2024, Europe has been methodically switching on a comprehensive set of rules that…
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The Ransomware Paradox: How 8,000 Attacks, State Hacks, and a 700,000-Record Breach Redefined Cyber Risk in 2025
Ransomware in 2025 reached a historic paradox: law enforcement notched some of its biggest victories against cybercriminals, yet the world endured more attacks, more disruption, and more victims than ever before. Instead of killing ransomware, the takedowns helped transform it—away from a few powerful “brands” and toward a fragmented, industrial-scale ecosystem that is harder to…
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The Federalism Battle Over AI: How Trump’s Executive Order Could Reshape Tech Regulation
The Trump administration’s new executive order on artificial intelligence is more than a deregulatory maneuver—it is the opening shot in a high‑stakes federalism fight that will determine who sets the rules for one of the most consequential technologies of the century. By moving aggressively to preempt state AI laws, threaten litigation, and condition billions in…
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The April Gambit: Why Trump’s Beijing Visit Could Decide Whether AI Becomes a Weapon or a Tool
Trump’s planned April 2026 visit to Beijing is not just another high‑stakes summit between the world’s two most powerful leaders. It is emerging as a turning point that will help determine whether artificial intelligence (AI) becomes primarily a weapon of strategic competition or a tool embedded in shared safety norms and crisis protocols. For all…
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US, EU and UK Diverge on Tech Regulation as States and Sector Rules Race Ahead of Federal Law
The United States, European Union, and United Kingdom are no longer drifting but decisively diverging in how they regulate technology and artificial intelligence. That divergence is reshaping compliance, competition, and even geopolitics, as Brussels doubles down on rule‑heavy oversight, London markets “pro‑innovation” flexibility, and Washington relies on sector regulators while political tensions with Europe escalate.…
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Racing Against the AI Clock: How the Pentagon Is Automating Its Cybersecurity Fortress
The Pentagon is racing to secure an AI‑enabled military at the same speed that new AI threats emerge. To break out of a human‑limited, episodic testing model, the Department of Defense (DOD) is moving from traditional red‑team exercises to autonomous purple‑team operations—AI systems that continuously attack, defend, and validate the security of battlefield and enterprise…
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Greenland’s Leaders to Trump: Greenland’s Future Is Not for Sale
Greenland’s leaders to Trump: The island’s future is not for sale Greenland’s political class has delivered one of the clearest rebukes yet to U.S. power in the Arctic. In a rare show of unity, the leaders of all of Greenland’s main parties have firmly rejected President Donald Trump’s renewed push for the United States to…
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As Iran Erupts, the Trump Administration Quietly Weighs Military Options
The Trump administration has quietly opened preliminary discussions on potential military strikes against Iran, even as the country is convulsed by the most sustained anti-regime protests in decades. The deliberations underscore how domestic unrest in Iran is intersecting with a more confrontational U.S. posture, raising profound questions about the future of the Islamic Republic and…
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Britain’s £200 Million Bet on Peace in Ukraine: Deterrence, Diplomacy, and the Making of a Multinational Force
Britain’s £200 Million Bet on a Future Peace in Ukraine How London Is Preparing to Lead a Post‑Ceasefire Force – and What It Really Signals The United Kingdom’s decision to allocate £200 million from its core defence budget to prepare troops for a possible deployment to Ukraine is more than a narrow budgeting move. It…
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Coal Consumption in Europe at Scale: A Continent in Managed Decline
Coal consumption in Europe is falling rapidly in both absolute and relative terms, but it remains highly concentrated in a few countries and still plays a strategic—if diminishing—role in the continent’s energy system. The European Union’s coal story is, above all, a story of scale and decline. At its peak around the late 1990s and…
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Bitcoin Is No Longer the Dark Web’s King: How Stablecoins Turned into a $154 Billion Crypto Nightmare
Stablecoins have quietly dethroned Bitcoin as the currency of choice for the dark web, transforming the way illicit actors move money online—and creating a $154 billion regulatory nightmare that now overlaps with the same rails powering remittances, trading, and everyday payments. At the center of this shift is a paradox: the very attributes that make…
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At -12 Net Approval, Trump’s Second Term Begins With No Honeymoon and a Divided Response to the Venezuela Raid
Trump enters his second term with historically weak public support and a sharply divided reaction to his boldest foreign‑policy move so far: the U.S. raid that captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. With a net approval of -12 points and almost identical splits on the raid itself, his “honeymoon period” is closer to a political grind…
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Europe’s Peacekeeping Gamble: How France’s 6,000 Troops Could Anchor Ukraine’s Post‑War Security
France’s decision to prepare the deployment of 6,000 troops to Ukraine after a peace agreement marks one of the boldest European security moves of the post–Cold War era, signalling a deliberate attempt to anchor Ukraine’s future with primarily European – not American – ground forces. The initiative, built around a broader Coalition of the Willing…
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From Desperation to Justice: How Ukraine’s $18 Million Court Win Exposed the Dark Corners of Wartime Arms Deals
Ukraine’s $18 Million Legal Victory: How a Broken Ammunition Deal Exposed the Risks of Wartime Arms Procurement When Ukraine wired more than €17 million to a small gun shop in Arizona in late 2022, it was acting under extreme pressure. Russian forces were battering Ukrainian cities, artillery duels dominated the front, and Kyiv was racing…
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Death Toll Obscured: Inside the Deadly Crackdown on Iran’s Nationwide Revolt Against Ayatollah Khamenei
Iran is witnessing its largest and deadliest wave of anti-government unrest in years, with activists reporting dozens to potentially hundreds killed as protesters directly challenge the authority of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Conflicting casualty figures, sweeping internet shutdowns, and official denials have obscured the true scale of the bloodshed even as the protests spread…
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The Drone Arithmetic of Attrition: How Ukraine Turned Unmanned Warfare Against Russia’s Manpower Advantage
Ukraine’s top military commander says December 2025 marked an inflection point in the war: Ukraine’s drones killed or seriously wounded roughly as many Russian soldiers as Russia managed to mobilize into the fight that month. In a conflict already defined by unmanned systems, this milestone crystallizes a new reality — the frontline arithmetic of attrition…
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Israel’s “Coming of Age”: Netanyahu’s Plan to End US Military Aid and Redefine Strategic Independence
Benjamin Netanyahu’s declaration that he wants to end US military aid to Israel within a decade marks one of the most consequential strategic pivots in the history of the US‑Israel relationship. Framed by Netanyahu as proof that Israel has “come of age,” the move aims to recast Israel from a heavily subsidized ally into a…